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Grade 7 · Grade 7 / Pre-algebra · 8 minute lesson

Scale a sample proportion to an estimated count

A sample proportion can support a population estimate while leaving sampling uncertainty.

Lesson 30 of 30 in Grade 7. Take the time you need; the lesson estimate is a guide.

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01 · Read and understand

What you will learn

  • Explain how to scale a sample proportion to an estimated count.
  • Solve the two practice problems and explain how the assumptions affect the answers.

Before you start

Proportions, fractions, and multiplication.

Keep paper nearby. Read the question once for the context, then again to identify what is known and what you need to find.

Start with a question

In a random sample of 80 students from a school of 600, 28 report walking to school. Estimate how many students in the school walk.

Why this math matters

A sample proportion can support a population estimate while leaving sampling uncertainty. Label an extrapolated count as an estimate and describe how its sample was chosen.

A collection of concrete mathematics tools for building mathematical understanding
Make a representation of your own.Sketch the quantities or relationships in this question before working through the solution. The cover image sets the learning scene; it does not show this problem’s exact values.

Set up the model

A useful answer starts with clear assumptions:

  • The sample was randomly drawn from the full school roster.
  • Reported walking status is accurate and refers to the same time period.

02 · Work through the example

Follow the reasoning, one step at a time.

Try to predict the next step before reading it. After each calculation, explain why the operation makes sense and how it helps answer the original question.

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Scale a sample proportion to an estimated count

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Question: Start with the question. Paused.

Question

Start with the question

In a random sample of 80 students from a school of 600, 28 report walking to school. Estimate how many students in the school walk.

Before you calculate

Read what is known and what you need to find. Make a prediction before moving to the first calculation.

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  1. Represent the quantities

    sample proportion = 28/80 = 0.35

    Estimate the population's walking proportion using the observed sample fraction.

  2. Apply the relationship

    estimated count = 0.35 × 600

    Apply the estimated proportion to the population size.

  3. Check and interpret

    estimated count = 210 students

    This is an estimate, not a census count; a different random sample can produce a different result.

The result

estimated count = 210 students

This is an estimate, not a census count; a different random sample can produce a different result.

Common mistakes to catch

  • The estimated population count is not the number actually observed.
  • Multiplying a biased sample proportion by the population size preserves the bias.

03 · Practice independently

Try it before revealing the answer.

Use paper or a calculator as needed. Write your units and reasoning, then open the hint or explanation to check your approach.

Practice 1

A random sample has 18 bus riders among 50 students. Estimate bus riders in a population of 400.

Show a hint

Multiply 18/50 by 400.

Reveal answer and explanation

144 students

0.36 × 400 = 144.

Practice 2

Two random samples give 34% and 38%. Must one have been collected dishonestly?

Show a hint

Consider ordinary sample-to-sample variation.

Reveal answer and explanation

No

Different random samples can yield different proportions even when both are collected correctly.

Take the idea with you

Label an extrapolated count as an estimate and describe how its sample was chosen.

04 · Reflect and continue

Can you explain it in your own words?

Before moving on, explain the main idea without looking at the worked example. Try both practice questions, check your reasoning, and name one mistake you now know how to avoid. Return to a step if you still need support.

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