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Grade 11 · Intermediate · 13 minute lesson

Find variables that are pairwise independent but not jointly independent

Test the difference between two-way and three-way independence.

Lesson 30 of 30 in Grade 11. Take the time you need; the lesson estimate is a guide.

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01 · Read and understand

What you will learn

  • Test the difference between two-way and three-way independence.
  • Justify the conclusion "The three are not mutually independent" using the stated assumptions.

Before you start

Fair coin outcomes and conditional probability.

Keep paper nearby. Read the question once for the context, then again to identify what is known and what you need to find.

Start with a question

Let X,Y be independent fair bits and Z=0 when X=Y, Z=1 otherwise. Are X,Y,Z mutually independent?

Why this math matters

Test the difference between two-way and three-way independence. This worked micro-lesson connects a precise mathematical condition to a conclusion you can check. The transfer task asks you to change the setting and decide which parts of the reasoning still apply.

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Make a representation of your own.Sketch the quantities or relationships in this question before working through the solution. The cover image sets the learning scene; it does not show this problem’s exact values.

Set up the model

A useful answer starts with clear assumptions:

  • X and Y are independent fair bits.
  • Z records their exclusive-or relation.

02 · Work through the example

Follow the reasoning, one step at a time.

Try to predict the next step before reading it. After each calculation, explain why the operation makes sense and how it helps answer the original question.

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Work through it with Amar

See this example unfold.

The complete worked example, one idea at a time.

Text-led walkthrough · no audioAmar’s portrait was edited with AI.

Find variables that are pairwise independent but not jointly independent

Paused

Question: Start with the question. Paused.

Question

Start with the question

Let X,Y be independent fair bits and Z=0 when X=Y, Z=1 otherwise. Are X,Y,Z mutually independent?

Before you calculate

Read what is known and what you need to find. Make a prediction before moving to the first calculation.

Starts paused. Play advances through the full text at a reading pace; pause whenever you need more time. Previous, Next, and the phase buttons let you set your own pace. Playback pauses when this walkthrough leaves the screen or you switch tabs.

Your device’s reduced-motion setting keeps each phase still. Manual controls remain available. The full written solution stays below.

  1. Build the model

    The four triples are (0,0,0),(0,1,1),(1,0,1),(1,1,0), each with probability 1/4

    Listing the equally likely bit pairs determines Z.

  2. Work through the mathematics

    Every pair has all four value combinations equally likely

    Each pair is independent with fair-bit marginals.

  3. Check the conclusion

    The three are not mutually independent

    P(X=0,Y=0,Z=0)=1/4 differs from the product 1/8, and knowing X,Y determines Z.

The result

The three are not mutually independent

P(X=0,Y=0,Z=0)=1/4 differs from the product 1/8, and knowing X,Y determines Z.

Common mistakes to catch

  • Pairwise independence does not imply mutual independence.
  • Checking only marginal probabilities is insufficient.

03 · Practice independently

Try it before revealing the answer.

Use paper or a calculator as needed. Write your units and reasoning, then open the hint or explanation to check your approach.

Practice 1

What is P(Z=1)?

Show a hint

Count unequal input pairs.

Reveal answer and explanation

1/2

Two of the four equally likely pairs differ.

Practice 2

What is P(Z=1|X=1,Y=0)?

Show a hint

Z is determined by the two bits.

Reveal answer and explanation

One

The stated inputs are unequal.

Take the idea with you

Audit a multi-sensor independence assumption by testing joint patterns, not only pairs.

04 · Reflect and continue

Can you explain it in your own words?

Before moving on, explain the main idea without looking at the worked example. Try both practice questions, check your reasoning, and name one mistake you now know how to avoid. Return to a step if you still need support.

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Keep building understanding

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